Lorient – Brest
Ligue 1 · Saturday 31 October 19:45. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
19:45Medium reliabilityHomeLorient1-1likelyAwayBrestModel1 · Lorient 46%
The model expects 1.5 goals for Lorient and 1.1 for Brest. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- LorientLorient defence: concedes 17% less than average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 17% more than the away side.
- LorientLorient attack: scores 10% less than the league average.
- BrestBrest defence: concedes 6% more than average.
- BrestBrest attack: scores 1% more than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.5 goals for Lorient and 1.1 for Brest: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.5 goals for Lorient and 1.1 for Brest. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.