Paris FC – Monaco
Ligue 1 · Sunday 1 November 16:15. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
16:15Low reliabilityHomeParis FC1-1likelyAwayMonacoModel1 · Paris FC 41%
The model expects 1.5 goals for Paris FC and 1.3 for Monaco. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 17% more than the away side.
- Paris FCParis FC defence: concedes 13% less than average.
- MonacoMonaco defence: concedes 12% less than average.
- MonacoMonaco attack: scores 10% more than the league average.
- Paris FCParis FC attack: scores 5% more than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.5 goals for Paris FC and 1.3 for Monaco: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.5 goals for Paris FC and 1.3 for Monaco. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.