Troyes – Le Mans
Ligue 1 · Saturday 31 October 19:45. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
19:45Low reliabilityHomeTroyes1-1likelyAwayLe MansModel2 · Le Mans 45%
The model expects 1.4 goals for Troyes and 1.7 for Le Mans. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- TroyesTroyes defence: concedes 28% more than average.
- TroyesTroyes attack: scores 26% less than the league average.
- Le MansLe Mans defence: concedes 19% more than average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 17% more than the away side.
- MatchRecent form: Troyes LLLLL, Le Mans DDWLL (small weight: at most ±3% on expected goals).
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.4 goals for Troyes and 1.7 for Le Mans: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.4 goals for Troyes and 1.7 for Le Mans. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.