Marseille – Toulouse
Ligue 1 · Sunday 1 November 19:45. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
19:45Medium reliabilityHomeMarseille1-1likelyAwayToulouseModel1 · Marseille 47%
The model expects 1.9 goals for Marseille and 1.4 for Toulouse. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MarseilleMarseille attack: scores 18% more than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 17% more than the away side.
- ToulouseToulouse attack: scores 10% more than the league average.
- MarseilleMarseille defence: concedes 4% less than average.
- ToulouseToulouse defence: concedes 1% more than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.9 goals for Marseille and 1.4 for Toulouse: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.9 goals for Marseille and 1.4 for Toulouse. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.