Strasbourg – Auxerre
Ligue 1 · Sunday 1 November 14:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
14:00Medium reliabilityHomeStrasbourg1-1likelyAwayAuxerreModel1 · Strasbourg 50%
The model expects 2.0 goals for Strasbourg and 1.5 for Auxerre. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 17% more than the away side.
- StrasbourgStrasbourg attack: scores 16% more than the league average.
- StrasbourgStrasbourg defence: concedes 12% more than average.
- AuxerreAuxerre defence: concedes 11% more than average.
- AuxerreAuxerre attack: scores 4% less than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.0 goals for Strasbourg and 1.5 for Auxerre: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 2.0 goals for Strasbourg and 1.5 for Auxerre. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.