Newcastle – Everton
Premier League · Monday 2 November 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00Low reliabilityHomeNewcastle1-1likelyAwayEvertonModel1 · Newcastle 41%
The model expects 1.5 goals for Newcastle and 1.3 for Everton. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 25% more than the away side.
- NewcastleNewcastle defence: concedes 19% more than average.
- EvertonEverton attack: scores 13% less than the league average.
- EvertonEverton defence: concedes 5% less than average.
- NewcastleNewcastle attack: scores 1% more than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.5 goals for Newcastle and 1.3 for Everton: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.5 goals for Newcastle and 1.3 for Everton. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.