Man City – Brighton Hove
Premier League · Saturday 31 October 15:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
15:00Low reliabilityHomeMan City1-1likelyAwayBrighton HoveModel1 · Man City 44%
The model expects 1.7 goals for Man City and 1.4 for Brighton Hove. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- Man CityMan City attack: scores 39% more than the league average.
- Brighton HoveBrighton Hove attack: scores 38% more than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 25% more than the away side.
- Brighton HoveBrighton Hove defence: concedes 21% less than average.
- Man CityMan City defence: concedes 18% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.7 goals for Man City and 1.4 for Brighton Hove: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.7 goals for Man City and 1.4 for Brighton Hove. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.