Bournemouth – Leeds United
Premier League · Saturday 31 October 15:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
15:00Low reliabilityHomeBournemouth1-1likelyAwayLeeds UnitedModel1 · Bournemouth 38%
The model expects 1.3 goals for Bournemouth and 1.2 for Leeds United. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. A draw remains plausible (28%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 25% more than the away side.
- Leeds UnitedLeeds United defence: concedes 14% less than average.
- Leeds UnitedLeeds United attack: scores 4% less than the league average.
- BournemouthBournemouth defence: concedes 4% more than average.
- BournemouthBournemouth attack: scores 1% more than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.3 goals for Bournemouth and 1.2 for Leeds United: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.3 goals for Bournemouth and 1.2 for Leeds United. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. A draw remains plausible (28%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.