Coventry City – Sunderland
Premier League · Saturday 31 October 15:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
15:00Low reliabilityHomeCoventry City1-1likelyAwaySunderlandModel1 · Coventry City 40%
The model expects 1.4 goals for Coventry City and 1.2 for Sunderland. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. A draw remains plausible (28%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 25% more than the away side.
- Coventry CityCoventry City attack: scores 18% less than the league average.
- SunderlandSunderland attack: scores 16% less than the league average.
- Coventry CityCoventry City defence: concedes 15% more than average.
- SunderlandSunderland defence: concedes 7% more than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.4 goals for Coventry City and 1.2 for Sunderland: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.4 goals for Coventry City and 1.2 for Sunderland. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. A draw remains plausible (28%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.