Chelsea – Man United
Premier League · Saturday 31 October 12:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
12:30Low reliabilityHomeChelsea1-1likelyAwayMan UnitedModel1 · Chelsea 41%
The model expects 1.8 goals for Chelsea and 1.6 for Man United. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 25% more than the away side.
- ChelseaChelsea attack: scores 21% more than the league average.
- Man UnitedMan United attack: scores 17% more than the league average.
- ChelseaChelsea defence: concedes 13% more than average.
- Man UnitedMan United defence: concedes 5% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.8 goals for Chelsea and 1.6 for Man United: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.8 goals for Chelsea and 1.6 for Man United. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.