Tottenham – Crystal Palace
Premier League · Saturday 31 October 17:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
17:30Medium reliabilityHomeTottenham1-1likelyAwayCrystal PalaceModel1 · Tottenham 49%
The model expects 1.6 goals for Tottenham and 1.1 for Crystal Palace. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 25% more than the away side.
- Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace defence: concedes 22% more than average.
- TottenhamTottenham attack: scores 13% less than the league average.
- Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace attack: scores 8% less than the league average.
- TottenhamTottenham defence: concedes 2% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.6 goals for Tottenham and 1.1 for Crystal Palace: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.6 goals for Tottenham and 1.1 for Crystal Palace. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.