Aston Villa – Fulham
Premier League · Saturday 31 October 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00Medium reliabilityHomeAston Villa1-1likelyAwayFulhamModel1 · Aston Villa 47%
The model expects 1.5 goals for Aston Villa and 1.0 for Fulham. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 25% more than the away side.
- FulhamFulham attack: scores 18% less than the league average.
- FulhamFulham defence: concedes 9% less than average.
- Aston VillaAston Villa attack: scores 5% more than the league average.
- Aston VillaAston Villa defence: concedes 1% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.5 goals for Aston Villa and 1.0 for Fulham: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.5 goals for Aston Villa and 1.0 for Fulham. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.