Brentford – Nottingham
Premier League · Saturday 31 October 15:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
15:00Medium reliabilityHomeBrentford1-1likelyAwayNottinghamModel1 · Brentford 49%
The model expects 1.6 goals for Brentford and 1.0 for Nottingham. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 25% more than the away side.
- NottinghamNottingham attack: scores 13% less than the league average.
- BrentfordBrentford attack: scores 10% more than the league average.
- NottinghamNottingham defence: concedes 8% less than average.
- BrentfordBrentford defence: concedes 5% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.6 goals for Brentford and 1.0 for Nottingham: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.6 goals for Brentford and 1.0 for Nottingham. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.