Liverpool – Arsenal
Premier League · Sunday 1 November 16:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
16:30Low reliabilityHomeLiverpool1-1likelyAwayArsenalModel2 · Arsenal 44%
The model expects 1.1 goals for Liverpool and 1.4 for Arsenal. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. A draw remains plausible (28%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- ArsenalArsenal defence: concedes 37% less than average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 25% more than the away side.
- ArsenalArsenal attack: scores 17% more than the league average.
- LiverpoolLiverpool attack: scores 6% more than the league average.
- LiverpoolLiverpool defence: concedes 6% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.1 goals for Liverpool and 1.4 for Arsenal: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.1 goals for Liverpool and 1.4 for Arsenal. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. A draw remains plausible (28%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.