H. Beer-Sheva – OFI Crete
Europa League · Thursday 5 November 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00Medium reliabilityHomeH. Beer-Sheva1-1likelyAwayOFI CreteModel2 · OFI Crete 47%
Home
H. Beer-Sheva
1-1likely
Away
OFI Crete
Match CenterStatistics only
127%
X26%
247%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.6
Reliabilitymedium
Home form
DLL
Away form
WLL
Most likely score1-112%
Why this outcome
The model expects 1.2 goals for H. Beer-Sheva and 1.6 for OFI Crete. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome2 · OFI Crete47%
Safer double chanceX273%
Most likely exact score1-112%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- H. Beer-ShevaH. Beer-Sheva attack: scores 20% less than the league average.
- H. Beer-ShevaH. Beer-Sheva defence: concedes 11% more than average.
- OFI CreteOFI Crete attack: scores 10% less than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 6% less than the away side.
- OFI CreteOFI Crete defence: concedes 2% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.2 goals for H. Beer-Sheva and 1.6 for OFI Crete: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 1.2 goals for H. Beer-Sheva and 1.6 for OFI Crete. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
The model's final prediction
X2 + Under 3.551%
League average for this market37% · +14 points
Safer alternativeX2 · 73%
Other strong marketsX2 · OFI Crete avoid defeat · 73% · Under 3.5 · at most 3 goals · 70%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 12%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
1-1
12% · then 0-1, 1-2
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.6
total 2.7
Over 2.5
52%
Under 48%
Both teams score
55%
No 45%
Latest games: H. Beer-Sheva
L@ Union SG4-0
L@ AZ Alkmaar2-1
Dvs GNK Dinamo0-0
Latest games: OFI Crete
Lvs Leverkusen0-2
L@ Rennes2-1
Wvs Hoffenheim2-0