| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | +8 | 9 |
| 2 | Leverkusen | 3 | +8 | 9 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 4 | Ferencváros | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Olympiacos | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 | Union SG | 3 | +7 | 7 |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | +6 | 7 |
| 8 | Besiktas | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | +5 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | +3 | 4 |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | +2 | 4 |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 | GNK Dinamo | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | N.E.C. | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Salzburg | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 24 | Milan | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 | Celta | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 | OFI Crete | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 30 | H. Beer-Sheva | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 31 | Lillestrøm | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | -8 | 1 |
| 33 | Viktoria Plzen | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Blue bar: top four. Red bar: bottom three. Tap a team to open its page.
How the season could end
The model played the 90 remaining matches 5,000 times, starting from today's table. Teams level on points are separated by goal difference and goals scored (not head-to-head). These are probabilities, not certainties.
| Team | Avg. pos. | Top 8 (last 16) | 9th–24th (play-offs) | Eliminated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 3.0 | 96% | 4% | 0% |
| Leverkusen | 3.8 | 92% | 8% | 0% |
| Benfica | 4.6 | 87% | 13% | <1% |
| Ferencváros | 6.9 | 69% | 31% | <1% |
| Juventus | 7.8 | 64% | 36% | 1% |
| Olympiacos | 8.0 | 61% | 39% | <1% |
| Union SG | 8.2 | 60% | 39% | 1% |
| Sunderland | 9.8 | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| Besiktas | 10.7 | 41% | 57% | 2% |
| Real Sociedad | 13.4 | 25% | 68% | 7% |
| AZ Alkmaar | 13.9 | 24% | 69% | 7% |
| Rennes | 14.3 | 22% | 69% | 9% |
| Omonia | 14.8 | 19% | 72% | 9% |
| Lyon | 15.3 | 17% | 72% | 10% |
| Crystal Palace | 15.5 | 17% | 71% | 12% |
| Milan | 18.4 | 9% | 69% | 22% |
| Celta | 19.6 | 6% | 69% | 25% |
| Hoffenheim | 19.6 | 6% | 67% | 27% |
| Levski Sofia | 19.8 | 5% | 67% | 28% |
| Sturm Graz | 20.4 | 5% | 64% | 31% |
| N.E.C. | 20.4 | 5% | 65% | 30% |
| OFI Crete | 20.7 | 4% | 64% | 32% |
| Sparta Praha | 20.8 | 4% | 63% | 33% |
| Anderlecht | 21.1 | 4% | 61% | 35% |
| GNK Dinamo | 22.7 | 2% | 54% | 44% |
| Torreense | 22.8 | 3% | 53% | 44% |
| Salzburg | 22.9 | 2% | 52% | 46% |
| Jagiellonia | 23.7 | 2% | 48% | 50% |
| Celje | 27.7 | <1% | 26% | 74% |
| Marseille | 29.8 | <1% | 16% | 84% |
| Lillestrøm | 30.5 | <1% | 13% | 87% |
| Celtic | 30.5 | <1% | 13% | 87% |
| Lech Poznan | 30.6 | <1% | 13% | 87% |
| Ararat-Armenia | 31.2 | <1% | 10% | 90% |
| H. Beer-Sheva | 31.4 | <1% | 8% | 92% |
| Viktoria Plzen | 31.5 | <1% | 8% | 92% |