For each match the model chooses the most likely outcome. Here you put them together and see how much the overall probability drops.
Selections
Type
Double chance (1X, X2), Over 1.5 and Under 3.5 are almost always the most likely but say little about the match. "Clear-cut selections" leaves them out.
THE MOST LIKELY70%
Celtic – Besiktas
Most likely outcome: At least 3 goals · statistical model
The most likely
sorted by probability#1TOP
Celtic – Besiktas
At least 3 goals · Over 2.5
70%probability
#2
Crystal Palace – Hoffenheim
Both teams score · Both score
68%probability
#3
Real Sociedad – Lyon
Both teams score · Both score
67%probability
These are statistical probabilities, not guarantees. The combined probability is the product of the single probabilities and drops quickly as you add selections.
How the probability drops
1 selection70%
2 selections48%
3 selections32%
4 selections21%
5 selections14%
Matches are treated as independent. The more selections you add, the more likely one of them is wrong.