Torreense – Ararat-Armenia
Europa League · Thursday 5 November 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00Low reliabilityHomeTorreense1-1likelyAwayArarat-ArmeniaModel1 · Torreense 45%
Home
Torreense
1-1likely
Away
Ararat-Armenia
Match CenterStatistics only
145%
X24%
231%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.5
Reliabilitylow
Home form
WLL
Away form
LLL
Most likely score1-110%
Why this outcome
The model expects 1.8 goals for Torreense and 1.5 for Ararat-Armenia. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · Torreense45%
Safer double chance1X69%
Most likely exact score1-110%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia defence: concedes 32% more than average.
- Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia attack: scores 17% less than the league average.
- TorreenseTorreense defence: concedes 15% more than average.
- TorreenseTorreense attack: scores 8% less than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 6% less than the away side.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.8 goals for Torreense and 1.5 for Ararat-Armenia: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 1.8 goals for Torreense and 1.5 for Ararat-Armenia. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
The model's final prediction
1X + Over 1.558%
League average for this market44% · +14 points
Safer alternative1X · 69%
Other strong markets1X · Torreense avoid defeat · 69% · Both teams score · 65%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 10%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
1-1
10% · then 2-1, 1-2
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.5
total 3.3
Over 2.5
64%
Under 36%
Both teams score
65%
No 35%
Latest games: Torreense
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Lvs Sunderland1-2
W@ Lillestrøm1-2
Latest games: Ararat-Armenia
Lvs AZ Alkmaar0-4
L@ Jagiellonia3-1
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